Ensemble Model Output Statistics for Wind Vectors
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Calibrated Probabilistic Forecasting Using Ensemble Model Output Statistics and Minimum CRPS Estimation∗
Ensemble prediction systems typically show positive spread-error correlation, but they are subject to forecast bias and underdispersion, and therefore uncalibrated. This work proposes the use of ensemble model output statistics (EMOS), an easy to implement post-processing technique that addresses both forecast bias and underdispersion and takes account of the spread-skill relationship. The tech...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Monthly Weather Review
سال: 2012
ISSN: 0027-0644,1520-0493
DOI: 10.1175/mwr-d-12-00028.1